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193 articles for “forecasting model”
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Time Series Model Forecasting of Boot using Holt, Winter and Decomposition Method
Abstract: In business scenario, sales forecasting is very essential due to volatile demand of products. Because of the uncertainty with demand and supply, forecasting of shoe industry is required. Normally retail sales series contains trend and seasonal patterns, presenting challenges in developing effective forecasting models. This study compares the application of three forecasting methods like Holt’s, winters and Decomposition method to forecast the sale of boot. Best method is selected on …
Published in Journal of Industrial Safety Engineering · Vol. 2, Issue 2, 2015 · pp. 23–31 Read article
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Study of Various Forecasting Models for Time Series Data Using Stochastic Processes
Abstract: The data which is in time stamped format is called as time series data. The time series data is everywhere, for example, weather data, stock market data, health care data, sensor data, network data, sales data and many more. Time series have various components due to which the time series data became complex. Trend, seasonality, cyclical, and irregularities, these are different components. As everyone is interested to know about future. …
Published in Journal of Computer Technology & Applications · Vol. 12, Issue 2, 2021 · pp. 26–32 Read article
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Second Wave COVID-19 Predictions and Forecasting of Confirmed Cases in West Bengal Using ARIMA Model
Abstract: Infection and death rates surged drastically during the second wave of the COVID-19 (called delta variant) in India, owing to the destructive virus. As our country's economic load makes it more difficult to control the measures and it is critical for states such as West Bengal to forecast future cases. The present study introduced a time series forecasting model aimed at predicting and forecasting the number of confirmed and active …
Published in Research and Reviews : A Journal of Immunology · Vol. 13, Issue 1, 2023 · pp. 1–8 Read article
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Time Series Sales Forecasting Using ARIMA Model
Abstract: Sales forecasting is a critical application in various industries and presents one of the most challenging problems worldwide. One method of prediction involves identifying patterns in historical data, where the outcome is known in advance and can be validated using more recent data. If a pattern consistently leads to the same outcome, it can be considered a genuine relationship. This method is highly flexible and can be utilized with diverse …
Published in International Journal of Algorithms Design and Analysis Review · Vol. 2, Issue 1, 2024 · pp. 17–27 Read article
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Development of a Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Based Model Aimed at Forecasting the Prognostic Impact of C-Reactive Protein in Myocarditis
Abstract: The specific role of inflammation markers in myocarditis remains uncertain. We investigated the diagnostic and prognostic significance of C-reactive protein (CRP) levels at the initial diagnosis among myocarditis patients. Our retrospective study enrolled patients clinically suspected (CS) or biopsy-proven (BP) with myocarditis, with available CRP data at diagnosis. We collected patient information, including clinical, laboratory, and imaging findings at diagnosis and follow-up visits. We utilized machine learning methods, specifically random …
Published in Research and Reviews: A Journal of Health Professions · Vol. 14, Issue 2, 2024 · pp. 12–24 Read article
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A Hybrid Mathematical Model for Epidemic Outbreak Forecasting Using Machine Learning and Cloud Computing
Abstract: The increasing frequency of infectious disease outbreaks has emphasized the necessity for intelligent epidemic surveillance systems capable of predicting disease spread at an early stage. Conventional outbreak detection approaches rely heavily on delayed statistical reporting and manual monitoring techniques, resulting in reduced responsiveness during critical periods. This paper presents a mathematical predictive framework for epidemic outbreak detection using machine learning and cloud computing technologies. The proposed framework integrates the Susceptible–Infected–Recovered …
Published in Research & Reviews: Discrete Mathematical Structures · Vol. 13, Issue 2, 2026 · pp. 01–06 Read article
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Applicability of SWMM Model for Urban Flood Forecasting: A Review
Abstract: Urbanization, the major goal for the emerging economies, with which come the major concerns, flood conditions being one of them. The huge losses of infrastructure and lives have alarmed us with the need to tackle this situation in an effective and sustainable manner. Flood forecasting and its management is the only sail through the narrow gap between the disasters and prosperity. Precipitation is the major component of the hydrologic cycle …
Published in Journal of Water Resource Engineering and Management · Vol. 4, Issue 2, 2017 · pp. 1–4 Read article
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Artificial Neural Network Model for Stock Market Forecasting
Abstract: AbstractIn recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stocks or stock markets. Neural networks, as an intelligent data mining method, have been used in many different challenging pattern recognition problems such as stock market prediction. The aim of this paper is to predict stock market using artificial neural networks (ANNs). The authors used feed forward neural network trained by back-propagation algorithm to make …
Published in Journal of Computer Technology & Applications · Vol. 5, Issue 1, 2014 · pp. 7–12 Read article
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Support Vector Machine Inspired Load Forecasting of a State University in Haryana
Abstract: Estimating the possible environmental impact and determining probable capital requirements are made easier with a solid grasp of electricity demand. Beginning in the middle of the 20th century, demand forecasting for electric power networks was studied theoretically. Prior to that, the study of demand forecasting had not developed because of the small scale of power networks. With the use of statistical prediction techniques, plans for the electric power industry have …
Published in Trends in Electrical Engineering · Vol. 15, Issue 2, 2025 · pp. 33–40 Read article
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Demand Forecasting for Seasonal Demand Patterns: Case Study of a Pharmaceutical Company
Abstract: In this paper the authors have developed a heuristic model that addresses demand forecasting for products those follow seasonal patterns. The model is checked against various renowned forecasting methods by comparing forecast errors. The proposed heuristic model is found to give better results than the Winters’ and other exponential models. Non-linear optimization is used to choose the values of smoothing parameters rather than depending on human judgment or experience. This …
Published in Journal of Production Research & Management · Vol. 4, Issue 3, 2014 · pp. 1–7 Read article
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Time Series Forecasting of Electricity Consumption: A Comparative Analysis of ARIMA and SARIMA Models
Abstract: Accurate electricity demand forecasting plays a vital role in energy planning, efficient power system operation, and sustainable resource management. This study conducts a comparative evaluation of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models using ten years of monthly electricity consumption data collected from a national electricity regulatory authority. The performance of both models is assessed using forecasting accuracy metrics, including Mean Absolute Error …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Statistics · Vol. 15, Issue 2, 2026 · pp. 43–53 Read article
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Lightweight Models for Per-PC Energy Consumption Forecasting: Comparative Study with ML and DL Approaches
Abstract: We have collected primary data from automated logging of parameters like CPU utilization, estimated power, active or idle state, user logging activity, and the type of day. Additionally, survey data showed user awareness, energy-saving behaviour, and PC usage patterns. The data is pre-processed and merged by applying processes such as data cleaning, normalization, and feature extraction, i.e., determining the peak active timings and downtime. Developed lightweight prediction models based on …
Published in Journal of Alternate Energy Sources & Technologies · Vol. 17, Issue 1, 2026 Read article
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Supply Chain Optimization Using Big Data
Abstract: In the references to add productivity and short the appendences, and increase customer value, supply chain optimization is a very crucial part of contemporary business operations. Supply chain management has been transformed by the emergence of big data, which can provide analysis and insight from many different sources of information. This content explores the importance of using big data analytics to improve the delivery process. Thanks to the evolution of …
Published in Journal of Production Research & Management · Vol. 14, Issue 2, 2024 · pp. 19–25 Read article
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Forecasting Commodity Prices Using Deep Learning Techniques: An Empirical Evidence from India
Abstract: Commodity price forecasting is instrumental in financial markets, providing framework for investment choices and risk management practices. Traditional models, including statistical and machine learning approaches, have limitations in capturing the nonlinear and volatile nature of commodity prices. Deep learning (DL) techniques have emerged as promising alternatives, leveraging advanced neural networks to enhance predictive accuracy. This study presents a thorough and comprehensive examination of deep learning applications in commodity price prediction, …
Published in Journal of Computer Technology & Applications · Vol. 16, Issue 3, 2025 · pp. 08–12 Read article
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Improving Energy Management Systems with SARIMA-Based Forecasting of Household Energy Consumption
Abstract: Household energy consumption is a dynamic and multifaceted domain influenced by various factors, including seasonality, weather conditions, and individual consumption habits. For homeowners looking to control expenses, lessen their impact on the environment, and contribute to a sustainable future, accurate forecasting is essential. Precise forecasting is also essential for utility firms to maximize energy production, distribution, and demand control. In a time when resource efficiency and environmental awareness are paramount, …
Published in Journal of Alternate Energy Sources & Technologies · Vol. 15, Issue 1, 2024 Read article
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Study of a Western Disturbance of 2023 Using Satellite-Based Observation, Reanalysis Data, and Numerical Simulation
Abstract: Western Disturbances (WDs) are synoptic-scale, extratropical storm systems that influence winter precipitation across northwest India. This study focuses on a specific WD event that occurred from 24– 25 March 2023, affecting Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and Punjab. The analysis integrates satellite observations, ERA-5 reanalysis data, and simulations from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to evaluate the model's performance. The novelty of this study lies in its …
Published in Journal of Remote Sensing & GIS · Vol. 16, Issue 3, 2025 · pp. 16–38 Read article
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Comparative Study of AI-Driven Fashion Trend Prediction System Using AI and ML: A Review
Abstract: To overcome the challenges in fashion trend forecasting, researchers have introduced several advanced and data-driven approaches. One such method uses a long short-term memory (LSTM) model combined with an encoder-decoder architecture to extract meaningful fashion content and recognize styles from product images. This model achieves higher accuracy in predicting upcoming fashion trends by incorporating varying price intervals and has shown impressive results when evaluated on the Amazon fashion dataset. Another …
Published in E-Commerce for Future & Trends · Vol. 12, Issue 2, 2025 · pp. 35–41 Read article
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Assessing Air Quality, Climate Change, and Migration Dynamics in Delhi NCR: A System Dynamics Approach
Abstract: As climate change accelerates and environmental degradation worsens, urban centers like Delhi NCR are under increasing pressure from internal migration. Poor air quality—especially in rural and peri-urban regions—emerges both as a driver of out-migration and a deterrent for in-migration to already burdened cities. This study develops a system dynamics (SD) model that integrates climate variables, air pollution metrics, economic indicators, governance quality, and migration behavior to simulate population flows into …
Published in Recent Trends in Mathematics · Vol. 2, Issue 1, 2025 · pp. 7–11 Read article
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Real-Time Air Quality Prediction Using IoT-Integrated Polymer Sensors and Recurrent Neural Networks
Abstract: Real-time air quality monitoring remains a critical challenge in urban environments, where traditional sensor infrastructures often suffer from limited responsiveness, poor scalability, and high deployment costs. The increasing prevalence of NO₂ pollution, a key contributor to respiratory and cardiovascular ailments, demands advanced sensing platforms capable of both accurate detection and predictive inference. Existing methods either rely on rigid electronic sensors lacking adaptability or on statistical forecasting models that fail to …
Published in Journal of Polymer & Composites · Vol. 13, Issue 6, 2025 · pp. 332–347 Read article
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A Thorough Examination of How Artificial Intelligence is Affecting the Transformation of Agriculture in India and Throughout the World
Abstract: By providing creative ways to increase crop yields, maximize resource usage, and advance sustainability, artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing agriculture. AI technologies, such as machine learning, computer vision, and robotics, are being increasingly used in precision farming, crop monitoring, disease detection, and decision-making as the global agricultural sector faces pressing challenges like food security, population growth, and climate change. AI enables farmers to make data-driven decisions, optimize irrigation systems, monitor …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology · Vol. 14, Issue 3, 2025 · pp. 39–45 Read article