Search
281 articles for “Forecast”
-
Very Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Gaussian Process Regression
Abstract: Very Short-Term Load Forecasting (VSTLF) is critical for real-time grid stability, frequency control, and economic dispatch. This study proposes a Gaussian Process Regression (GPR)-based framework for one-hour-ahead load forecasting using hourly data from January 2020 to April 2024 for Delhi, India. The model incorporates meteorological data such as temperature, humidity, and dew point with lagged load values. The research takes into account time-related dependencies and seasonal changes in order to …
Published in Trends in Electrical Engineering · Vol. 16, Issue 1, 2025 · pp. 91–104 Read article
-
Support Vector Machine Inspired Load Forecasting of a State University in Haryana
Abstract: Estimating the possible environmental impact and determining probable capital requirements are made easier with a solid grasp of electricity demand. Beginning in the middle of the 20th century, demand forecasting for electric power networks was studied theoretically. Prior to that, the study of demand forecasting had not developed because of the small scale of power networks. With the use of statistical prediction techniques, plans for the electric power industry have …
Published in Trends in Electrical Engineering · Vol. 15, Issue 2, 2025 · pp. 33–40 Read article
-
Integrated Explainable Forecasting and Metaheuristic PI Optimization for LFC/AGC
Abstract: Since the last decade world has seen a paradigm shift towards alternate sources of energy, due to significant increase in population and ever-rising demand. However, the traditional systems were not designed to cope with these alternate sources and on the other hand these systems are posed with the challenges of efficiency and intermittency. So, it is inevitable that we need to design a system wherein forecasting data has to be …
Published in Trends in Electrical Engineering · Vol. 16, Issue 2, 2025 Read article
-
Rapid Forecasting of Short-run Electric Power Demand Profiles of India Using the Statistical Method of Z Scores
Abstract: Power demand profile prediction for a region or nation is a critical part of the energy system design and operational planning process. A simplified method based on non-dimensionalizing power demand data from previous years using Z scores calculated from the mean and standard deviation of the profiles is developed in this study to forecast monthly demand profiles at time resolution of 1 hour for future years. The Z score range …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Statistics · Vol. 14, Issue 1, 2025 · pp. 38–48 Read article
-
Time Series Sales Forecasting Using ARIMA Model
Abstract: Sales forecasting is a critical application in various industries and presents one of the most challenging problems worldwide. One method of prediction involves identifying patterns in historical data, where the outcome is known in advance and can be validated using more recent data. If a pattern consistently leads to the same outcome, it can be considered a genuine relationship. This method is highly flexible and can be utilized with diverse …
Published in International Journal of Algorithms Design and Analysis Review · Vol. 2, Issue 1, 2024 · pp. 17–27 Read article
-
Forecasting Commodity Prices Using Deep Learning Techniques: An Empirical Evidence from India
Abstract: Commodity price forecasting is instrumental in financial markets, providing framework for investment choices and risk management practices. Traditional models, including statistical and machine learning approaches, have limitations in capturing the nonlinear and volatile nature of commodity prices. Deep learning (DL) techniques have emerged as promising alternatives, leveraging advanced neural networks to enhance predictive accuracy. This study presents a thorough and comprehensive examination of deep learning applications in commodity price prediction, …
Published in Journal of Computer Technology & Applications · Vol. 16, Issue 3, 2025 · pp. 08–12 Read article
-
Demand Forecasting for Seasonal Demand Patterns: Case Study of a Pharmaceutical Company
Abstract: In this paper the authors have developed a heuristic model that addresses demand forecasting for products those follow seasonal patterns. The model is checked against various renowned forecasting methods by comparing forecast errors. The proposed heuristic model is found to give better results than the Winters’ and other exponential models. Non-linear optimization is used to choose the values of smoothing parameters rather than depending on human judgment or experience. This …
Published in Journal of Production Research & Management · Vol. 4, Issue 3, 2014 · pp. 1–7 Read article
-
Second Wave COVID-19 Predictions and Forecasting of Confirmed Cases in West Bengal Using ARIMA Model
Abstract: Infection and death rates surged drastically during the second wave of the COVID-19 (called delta variant) in India, owing to the destructive virus. As our country's economic load makes it more difficult to control the measures and it is critical for states such as West Bengal to forecast future cases. The present study introduced a time series forecasting model aimed at predicting and forecasting the number of confirmed and active …
Published in Research and Reviews : A Journal of Immunology · Vol. 13, Issue 1, 2023 · pp. 1–8 Read article
-
Time Series Forecasting Based on PyAF and fbProphet
Abstract: Time series forecasting is the technique of predicting future events using previous data. Time series data includes information that is collected and recorded at regular intervals, such as daily stock prices, monthly sales figures, or hourly temperature readings. The purpose of time series forecasting is to use previous data to create accurate forecasts about the future values of a given variable. This can be beneficial for a range of applications, …
Published in International Journal of Information Security Engineering · Vol. 1, Issue 1, 2023 · pp. 32–36 Read article
-
Using AIML to Enhance Demand Forecasting in Business
Abstract: Artificial intelligence machine learning (AIML) can play a significant role in enhancing demand forecasting in business. AIML is a programming language designed for creating chatbots and conversational agents, but its application extends beyond simple interactions. In the context of demand forecasting, AIML can be utilized to analyze historical data, customer interactions, and market trends. By implementing AIML algorithms, businesses can create intelligent models that learn from past demand patterns, customer …
Published in Journal of Computer Technology & Applications · Vol. 15, Issue 1, 2024 · pp. 35–40 Read article
-
Demand Forecasting for Perishable Food Commodities Using Data Analytics
Abstract: This paper introduces a comprehensive study aimed at enhancing the forecasting of perishable food item demand. Focusing on solving the critical issue of waste management within the supply chain of food products, the research undertakes a comparative analysis of various machine learning models. The development of an optimized model that is capable of accurately forecasting the demand for perishable food items is the focus of this research. The research includes …
Published in Journal of Software Engineering Tools & Technology Trends · Vol. 11, Issue 3, 2024 · pp. 27–37 Read article
-
Improving Energy Management Systems with SARIMA-Based Forecasting of Household Energy Consumption
Abstract: Household energy consumption is a dynamic and multifaceted domain influenced by various factors, including seasonality, weather conditions, and individual consumption habits. For homeowners looking to control expenses, lessen their impact on the environment, and contribute to a sustainable future, accurate forecasting is essential. Precise forecasting is also essential for utility firms to maximize energy production, distribution, and demand control. In a time when resource efficiency and environmental awareness are paramount, …
Published in Journal of Alternate Energy Sources & Technologies · Vol. 15, Issue 1, 2024 Read article
-
Forecasting Climate-Driven Healthcare Demand in Agricultural Regions: A Multi-Modal AI Approach
Abstract: The rapidly increasing instability of world climatic regimes has made past meteorological thresholds irrelevant, especially in the agricultural areas where monetary stability and well-being of humans are closely intertwined with an environmental situation. The more the frequency of 1 in every 1000-year events, i.e., heatwaves and catastrophic flooding increase, the greater the rural healthcare systems are in crisis, i.e., unable to predict a surge in demand because of data scarcity, …
Published in International Journal of Climate Conditions · Vol. 2, Issue 2, 2025 · pp. 28–38 Read article
-
Study of Various Forecasting Models for Time Series Data Using Stochastic Processes
Abstract: The data which is in time stamped format is called as time series data. The time series data is everywhere, for example, weather data, stock market data, health care data, sensor data, network data, sales data and many more. Time series have various components due to which the time series data became complex. Trend, seasonality, cyclical, and irregularities, these are different components. As everyone is interested to know about future. …
Published in Journal of Computer Technology & Applications · Vol. 12, Issue 2, 2021 · pp. 26–32 Read article
-
Performance Forecasting in Solo Sports: Leveraging Psychometrics, Economic Analysis, and Cultural Insights for Predictive Excellence
Abstract: The science of performance forecasting in solo sports has transcended traditional metrics, embracing a multidisciplinary approach. This paper explores the integration of psychometrics, economic analysis, and cultural insights to predict athletic success. By leveraging psychological profiling, economic factors, and cultural dynamics, this study aims to establish a comprehensive model for forecasting athlete performance with heightened accuracy. In the realm of solo sports, where individual prowess dictates success, traditional performance forecasting …
Published in Recent Trends in Sports · Vol. 1, Issue 1, 2024 · pp. 35–44 Read article
-
Advancements in Agricultural Forecasting: A Review of Machine Learning Based Crop Yield Prediction
Abstract: Agricultural productivity plays a critical role in global food security, and accurate crop yield prediction is essential for optimizing resource allocation and decision-making in farming. The rapid advancements in Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning(DL)have transformed agricultural forecasting, enabling data-driven approaches for crop prediction. This review paper provides a comprehensive analysis of various ML and DL techniques applied in crop yield forecast, highlighting the ineffectiveness, challenges, and future directions. The …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology · Vol. 14, Issue 3, 2025 · pp. 32–38 Read article
-
A SEIR-Informed Stacked Fusion of Prophet, XGBoost, and LSTM for Ward-Level Epidemic Forecasting in Amravati Municipal Corporation
Abstract: Municipal epidemic preparedness depends on accurate short-horizon forecasts at fine spatial granularity. Ward-level incidence series are typically nonstationary due to changing contact patterns, interventions, reporting delays, and heterogeneous demographic and environmental factors. This paper presents a mathematically formulated hybrid forecasting architecture designed for Amravati Municipal Corporation (AMC). The method decomposes observed incidence into (i) a mechanistic SEIR baseline that enforces epidemiological structure and (ii) a data-driven residual learned using Prophet …
Published in Research & Reviews: Discrete Mathematical Structures · Vol. 13, Issue 1, 2026 · pp. 17–23 Read article
-
Improving the Forecasting Accuracy of a Project Status Using the Inputs of Earned Value Management – A Review Article
Abstract: The earned value method (EVM) is recognized as a viable method for evaluating and forecasting project cost performance. Its application to schedule performance forecasting has been limited due to poor accuracy. The index based EVM forecasting methods are deterministic approaches having large forecasting errors in the initial stages of a project. Hence this paper gives a brief overview of the advanced accurate approaches like Kalman filter, growth model and linear …
Published in Journal of Construction Engineering, Technology & Management · Vol. 5, Issue 3, 2015 · pp. 13–17 Read article
-
Wind Forecasting Using Various Neural Networks in Machine Learning
Abstract: Wind Power Forecasting, as the name applies is a process in which data of past is used to tell what kind of output can be expected from a wind turbine in the foreseeable future. Machine learning, can be said to be a derivation of artificial intelligence that makes it possible for the system to learn automatically and improve upon itself from faults, without needing to tell the system to do …
Published in Journal of Telecommunication, Switching Systems and Networks · Vol. 8, Issue 2, 2021 · pp. 32–43 Read article
-
Early Warning Flood Forecasting Using Long Short-Term Memory Network
Abstract: AbstractFlooding is the natural disaster which leads to massive loss of life and property as well. India faces this situation every year and millions of people are being displaced due to loss of shelter. Early warning of flood disaster in corresponding locality provides sufficient time to protect their precious life and property. However, the range of flood prediction introduces the issue of cost, reliability and maintenance. We are proposing the …
Published in Current Trends in Information Technology · Vol. 10, Issue 3, 2020 · pp. 30–34 Read article