Conformal Prediction
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Industrial Prognostics via Ensemble Machine Learning: An Uncertainty Aware Framework for RUL Estimation on NASA FD004 Telemetry
Abstract: Estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of industrial machinery in real-time is now vital for both operational safety and smart resource management. In the aviation industry, turbofan engines deal with constantly shifting flight conditions, making traditional, scheduled maintenance both expensive and prone to error. This paper addresses the flaws in common “point-prediction” AI models, which offer a single failure date without any margin for error, by introducing a new, uncertainty-aware …
Published in Journal of Aerospace Engineering & Technology · Vol. 16, Issue 2, 2026 Read article