Search
4 articles for “Akaike information criterion”
-
Forecasting Area, Production and Yield of Cotton in India using ARIMA Model
Abstract: Cotton is an important crop in India. India is the second largest exporter of cotton behind the US. This study focuses on forecasting the cultivated area and production of cotton in India using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. Time Series data covering the period of 1950–2010 was used for the Study. The study revealed that ARIMA (0, 1, 0) ARIMA (1, 1, 4) and ARIMA (0, 1, 1) are …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Space Science & Technology · Vol. 2, Issue 1, 2013 · pp. 16–20 Read article
-
Seasonal ARIMA for Forecasting Sea Surface Temperature of the North Zone of the Bay of Bengal
Abstract: The behavior of the sea surface temperature (SST) of the north zone of the Bay of Bengal plays an important role for understanding climate changes over Bangladesh. The monthly average of SST of this zone is used in this study which is obtained from January 1900 to December 2009. Box and Jenkins method is used to fit a seasonal auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model used in forecasting SST …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Statistics · Vol. 2, Issue 2, 2013 · pp. 23–31 Read article
-
Modeling Dispersed Count Data: Evaluating the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson Regression with COVID-19 Mortality Data
Abstract: Count data are prevalent in diverse fields such as biology, healthcare, psychology, and marketing, characterized by non-negativity and inherent heteroskedasticity, often exhibiting overdispersion or underdispersion. Traditional Poisson regression, which assumes equal mean and variance, is inadequate for such dispersed data. To address this, various generalized linear models (GLMs) and their extensions, including negative binomial (NB) and Conway–Maxwell–Poisson (CMP) regressions, are utilized. This study evaluates the performance of CMP regression compared …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Statistics · Vol. 13, Issue 3, 2024 · pp. 18–26 Read article
-
Time Series Forecasting of Electricity Consumption: A Comparative Analysis of ARIMA and SARIMA Models
Abstract: Accurate electricity demand forecasting plays a vital role in energy planning, efficient power system operation, and sustainable resource management. This study conducts a comparative evaluation of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models using ten years of monthly electricity consumption data collected from a national electricity regulatory authority. The performance of both models is assessed using forecasting accuracy metrics, including Mean Absolute Error …
Published in Research & Reviews : Journal of Statistics · Vol. 15, Issue 2, 2026 · pp. 43–53 Read article