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Journal of Water Resource Engineering and Management Original Research

Analyzing Flood Return Levels Using the Gumbel Distribution in Niamey, Niger

  1. Hassane Bassirou West African Science Service Centre for Climate Change and Adapted Land Use (WASCAL), Graduate Research Program on Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management, University of Lomé, 01 BP 1515 Lomé 01, Togo
  2. Madou Sougue West African Science Service Centre for Climate Change and Adapted Land Use (WASCAL), Graduate Research Program on Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management, University of Lomé, 01 BP 1515 Lomé 01, Togo
  3. Masamaéya D.-T. Gnazou Department of Geology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lomé, BP: 1515 Lomé, Togo
  4. Ibrah Seidou Sanda Regional Centre AGRHYMET/CILSS, 425 Boulevard de l'Université, Rive Droite, BP: 11011 Niamey, Niger
  5. Ambe Emmanuel Cheo Department of Environmental Vulnerability and Ecosystem Services Section, Institute of Environmental and Human Security, United Nations University, Platz der Vereinten Nationen 1, 53113 Bonn, Germany

Abstract

Floods are among the most severe natural disasters, capable of causing significant damage to both the environment and society. This research utilizes the Gumbel distribution to analyze flood return levels by examining historical data from Niamey, Niger. The study focuses on river heights, flow rates, and precipitation patterns to understand the dynamics of flooding in the region. By analyzing these parameters, the research aims to identify severe weather trends and make predictions about future flood levels. These insights are intended to aid in disaster preparedness and the efficient management of water resources. The findings underscore the increasing frequency and severity of floods, highlighting the urgent need for enhanced infrastructure, improved data collection methods, and heightened community awareness to mitigate the adverse impacts of flooding. The project emphasizes that proactive measures are essential for minimizing the risks associated with floods. By addressing these challenges, the research hopes to contribute to the development of strategies that will better protect communities and ecosystems from the devastating effects of flooding. This comprehensive approach to flood analysis and management is crucial for building resilience against future flood events in Niamey and similar vulnerable regions.

Keywords

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